According to [CipherTrace CEO Dave] Jevans, Monero tracing takes a different approach than Bitcoin tracing tools, and the results aren’t quite as definite.
“You can’t be as deterministic as Bitcoin,” he said. “In tracing Monero, it’s really more of a probabilistic game. You can say: Well, I have 98% probability that this went from this address to this address, or 78%, or that type of thing.
The fact that CipherTrace’s Monero tracing isn’t deterministic but probabilistic suggests they are only capable of partially decloaking the ring signatures at the core of XMR privacy.
What implications might this have for the ring signature tech used in the Incognito Chain?